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Re: What The Polls Are Telling You

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Lou, Trump Lovers are not conservatives. They are Trump Cult members who do whatever Trump and Fox tells them to do.

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They call themselves conservatives but you're right. 

 

 

 

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Re: What The Polls Are Telling You

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Lou, Trump Lovers are not conservatives. They are Trump Cult members who do whatever Trump and Fox tells them to do.

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Re: What The Polls Are Telling You

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Conservatives aren't worried about polls. They are secure in their belief that the polls predicting Hillary would win were wrong so all polls are meaningless. Not to mention the polls that predicted Dewey would defeat Truman. (See the Chicago Daily Tribune, 11/3/1948.) 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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What The Polls Are Telling You

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The latest national poll, from Rasmussen on July 9th, has Biden with a 10 point lead.

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Re: What The Polls Are Telling You

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Right, ask long as those people who say they support Biden actually vote for him. Saying it doesn't count unless they get off the couch and go vote.

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Re: What The Polls Are Telling You

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Let me repeat my point, one poll means little or nothing. It doesn't matter what that poll shows, one cannot draw any conclusions based on a single poll. People have to assess an array of polls and look for trends.

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Re: What The Polls Are Telling You

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Anybody can find one poll which projects their bias.

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No, I just posted a recent poll that was in today's NewsWeek -- July 9th.

 

8% were "not sure" according to the poll. If those voters split 50-50 Biden would still lead in the poll by 6%. So, you can relax. 

 

 

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What The Polls Are Telling You

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Anybody can find one poll which projects their bias. What really matters is the average of all polls, especially the more reliable ones. Everywhere one looks, Biden is winning significantly. However, it's very early, and the election is still 4 months away, which means a lot can change between now and then.

 

Here's the latest average of national polls which I found.

 
General Election Trump vs Biden - National Polls
  • Biden:  49.6
  • Trump: 40.8
          Biden: +8.8
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Re: What The Polls Are Telling You

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Biden's Lead Over Trump Diminishes in New National Poll


Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden's lead over President Donald Trump has diminished by 6 percentage points, according to a new national poll.


The poll, which was conducted by The Hill/HarrisX, surveyed 933 registered voters from July 3 to July 4. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.


According to the poll, 43 percent of respondents said they would vote for Biden if the presidential election were held today, while 39 percent sided with Trump.

 

Among the remaining percent of voters, 5 percent said they would vote for someone else, 5 percent said they wouldn't vote, and 8 percent said they were not sure.


The poll found that Trump has narrowed Biden's lead from previous polls.

 

According to a poll conducted from June 1 to June 4, Biden held a 10-point lead over Trump, when 47 percent of respondents sided with the former vice president and 37 percent chose Trump.


https://www.newsweek.com/bidens-lead-over-trump-diminishes-new-national-poll-1516698?utm_term=Autofe...

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What The Polls Are Telling You

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The following is more proof that education, or lack thereof, plays a huge roll in Trump's support. Less educated people believe everything they see and hear on Fox.

 

The Monmouth survey this month, the NBC/Wall Street Journal national poll last month, and the Quinnipiac poll this week all showed Trump winning nearly two-thirds of non-college-educated white men and Biden capturing just less than two-thirds of college-educated white women.

 

55 percent of blue-collar men said in the CNN poll that they are comfortable returning to their normal routines, 68 percent of college-educated white women said they are not. In a Monmouth University poll  released earlier this month, twice as many non-college-educated white men said Trump is providing helpful, rather than harmful, information on the virus; college-educated white women were more than three times as likely to say that his information was harmful rather than helpful, according to detailed results provided by the poll director Patrick Murray.

 

The above is 6 weeks old, from May 21st.

 

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/05/trump-winnowing-down-his-base/611902/

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