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U.S. economy could gradually start re-opening as early as May

Fauci says parts of U.S. economy could gradually start re-opening as early as May

 

BY:  The AP

 

WASHINGTON — The United States’ top infectious disease expert said Sunday that the economy in parts of the country could have a “rolling reentry” as early as next month, provided health authorities can quickly identify and isolate people who will inevitably be infected with the coronavirus.

 

Dr. Anthony Fauci also said he “can’t guarantee” that it will be safe for Americans to vote in person on Election Day, Nov. 3.

 

Rather than flipping a switch to reopen the entire country, Fauci said a gradual process will be required based on the status of the pandemic in various parts of the U.S. and the availability of rapid, widespread testing. Once the number of people who are seriously ill sharply declines, officials can begin to “think about a gradual reentry of some sort of normality, some rolling reentry,” Fauci said.

In some places, he said, that might occur as soon as May. “We are hoping that, at the end of the month, we could look around and say, OK, is there any element here that we can safely and cautiously start pulling back on? If so, do it. If not, then just continue to hunker down,” Fauci said.

 

Whenever restrictions ease, Fauci said, “we know that there will be people who will be getting infected. I mean, that is just reality. “

 

Social distancing guidelines imposed by President Donald Trump are set to expire April 30.

 

Trump is eager to restart the economy, which has stalled because most Americans are under orders to “stay at home” to help slow the virus’ spread.

 

But governors will have a lot to say about when to ease restrictions in their states, and the leaders of Maryland and New Jersey indicated Sunday that they are not likely to do so until widespread testing is available.

 

“The question is how fast we can get enough tests up to speed in order to help us get to the point where we are able to do all of those things,” Gov. Larry Hogan, R-Md., said. He said he has set no “artificial deadline.”

 

Gov. Phil Murphy, D-N.J., said the risks of reopening too soon are dangerously high. “And I fear, if we open up too early, and we have not sufficiently made that health recovery and cracked the back of this virus, that we could be pouring gasoline on the fire, even inadvertently,” Murphy told.

 

Increased testing would allow authorities to identify, isolate and trace the contacts of people who are newly infected, Fauci said.

 

Trump continues to deny continuing problems with the coronavirus testing that’s available, including shortages and long wait times for people to learn results. He’s also resistant to the idea of more widespread testing, saying last week that “it’s unnecessary” and that “vast areas of our country don’t need this.”

 

Other scientists have echoed Fauci’s call for a gradual reopening, where restrictions can be ramped up or down.

 

Dr. Christopher Murray, director of the University of Washington institute that created widely cited projections of virus-related deaths, said studies show that lifting restrictions at the end of this month would lead to a rebound in the number of infections. Because states don’t really have the capability to deal with a big volume of new cases, he said, “by July or August we could be back in the same situation we are now.”

 

Officials need to examine whether a state has reached its peak and then allow several weeks of continued closures until fuller testing and contact tracing can be put in place before making a decision, Murray said. But even then, he said, states would have to mindful of putting in place controls to stem “importation” of the virus from other states.

 

“Maybe some states can open up mid May but we have to be very careful and make sure we don’t lose all the effort the American people have put into closures by premature opening,” he said.

Speaking about the prospects of Americans physically going to polling places in November, Fauci said he hopes voting in person can take place.

 

“I believe that if we have a good, measured way of rolling into this, steps towards normality, that we hope, by the time we get to November, that we will be able to do it in a way which is the standard way,” he said..

 

“However — and I don’t want to be the pessimistic person — there is always the possibility, as we get into next fall, and the beginning of early winter, that we could see a rebound,” he said.

The U.S. has the most confirmed cases and deaths of any nation, more than 530,000 and 20,600, respectively, according to Johns Hopkins University. In hard-hit New York, the number of deaths has topped 700 for six straight days, but the increase in people who are hospitalized is slowing, in a hopeful sign.

 

For most people, the new coronavirus causes mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough that clear up in two to three weeks. For some, especially older adults and people with existing health problems, it can cause more severe illness, including pneumonia, and death.

 

Fauci was on CNN’s “State of the Union.’’ Hogan appeared on ABC’s “This Week.’’ Murray was on CBS’ “Face the Nation.” Murphy was on CNN and CBS.

 

 

 

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Dr. Christopher Murray, director of the University of Washington institute that created widely cited projections of virus-related deaths, said studies show that lifting restrictions at the end of this month would lead to a rebound in the number of infections. Because states don’t really have the capability to deal with a big volume of new cases, he said, “by July or August we could be back in the same situation we are now.”

 

Officials need to examine whether a state has reached its peak and then allow several weeks of continued closures until fuller testing and contact tracing can be put in place before making a decision, Murray said. But even then, he said, states would have to mindful of putting in place controls to stem “importation” of the virus from other states.

 

“Maybe some states can open up mid May but we have to be very careful and make sure we don’t lose all the effort the American people have put into closures by premature opening,” he said.

Speaking about the prospects of Americans physically going to polling places in November, Fauci said he hopes voting in person can take place.

 

“I believe that if we have a good, measured way of rolling into this, steps towards normality, that we hope, by the time we get to November, that we will be able to do it in a way which is the standard way,” he said..

 

“However — and I don’t want to be the pessimistic person — there is always the possibility, as we get into next fall, and the beginning of early winter, that we could see a rebound,” he said.

The U.S. has the most confirmed cases and deaths of any nation, more than 530,000 and 20,600, respectively, according to Johns Hopkins University. In hard-hit New York, the number of deaths has topped 700 for six straight days, but the increase in people who are hospitalized is slowing, in a hopeful sign.

 

 

 

 

 

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@jimc91 wrote:

Dr. Christopher Murray, director of the University of Washington institute that created widely cited projections of virus-related deaths, said studies show that lifting restrictions at the end of this month would lead to a rebound in the number of infections. Because states don’t really have the capability to deal with a big volume of new cases, he said, “by July or August we could be back in the same situation we are now.”

 

Officials need to examine whether a state has reached its peak and then allow several weeks of continued closures until fuller testing and contact tracing can be put in place before making a decision, Murray said. But even then, he said, states would have to mindful of putting in place controls to stem “importation” of the virus from other states.

 

“Maybe some states can open up mid May but we have to be very careful and make sure we don’t lose all the effort the American people have put into closures by premature opening,” he said.

Speaking about the prospects of Americans physically going to polling places in November, Fauci said he hopes voting in person can take place.

 

“I believe that if we have a good, measured way of rolling into this, steps towards normality, that we hope, by the time we get to November, that we will be able to do it in a way which is the standard way,” he said..

 

“However — and I don’t want to be the pessimistic person — there is always the possibility, as we get into next fall, and the beginning of early winter, that we could see a rebound,” he said.

The U.S. has the most confirmed cases and deaths of any nation, more than 530,000 and 20,600, respectively, according to Johns Hopkins University. In hard-hit New York, the number of deaths has topped 700 for six straight days, but the increase in people who are hospitalized is slowing, in a hopeful sign.

 


I read this about the state by state approach and think wistfully, "wouldn't it be nice to have a central government with some potential for leadership?" 

Honored Social Butterfly

In two weeks trump wants to start throwing people back together with each other. How do we know who is not infected, who is infected but doesn't show signs of but is contagious, and who is immune? We don't and contagious people can spread the virus even more. 
And with the "no direction" testing program, who knows how much longer will more people will be tested?

trump is gambling...with others lives!

Honored Social Butterfly

Trump cares only about himself and money. He doesn't care about the people who died because of the virus. Since he judges his presidency on the stock market and the economy, Trump wants to re-open for business as soon as possible. 

 

Therefore, I think he's putting pressure on Fauci and that's why he's talking about re-opening the economy in a couple of weeks. Come on! There are so many unknowns about this virus, I think it's irrresponsible for Fauci to talk like that. 

 

Last week, the stock market rose one day because the rate of deaths in NYC went DOWN. Guess what? About 2 days later, NYC had a record number of Corona Virus related deaths. Once again, this epidemic is sitll a big unknown.

Honored Social Butterfly

The spread of the virus is related to density of population which is why NY is the epicenter of the virus in the U.S.  When comparing the U.S. cases compared to Italy and exceeding them, one must remeber that Italy has only 1/5 the population of the U.S.!

 

With the new 5 minute test, I think tested people will be allowed back to work with their negative test. This will require follow up testing weekly so many more tests have to be available.

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So, is the Trump team going to outsource distribution of test kits to Biden because team Trump sure has not been doing much good so far.  

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@Richva wrote:

So, is the Trump team going to outsource distribution of test kits to Biden because team Trump sure has not been doing much good so far.  


Maybe you can supervise those tests being done since the left knows how to do it much better.

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@NOTHAPPENING wrote:

@Richva wrote:

So, is the Trump team going to outsource distribution of test kits to Biden because team Trump sure has not been doing much good so far.  


Maybe you can supervise those tests being done since the left knows how to do it much better.


I am not sure how "the left" would do it but we can compare our administration's response and it's failure to the responses of other countries. to get some idea of what our expectations should be. Add to that that Trump had the advantage of the lessons of  experience those other countries gave him and the Pandemic Playbook created under the Obama administration and we should be MUCH further along than now.  Any idea when Trump is going to announce his plan for dealing with the virus (cue sound of crickets)

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