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Valued Social Butterfly
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Re: Odds of a recession are now (9 Aug 2019) 1 in 2 per Bank of America

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Message 11 of 15

@afisher wrote:

 

     Today, the Return rate on a 10 year T bill  is now lower than the return rate on a 2year T bill.    So the amount of long term investment just dropped, along with the only metric the RW quotes:  Wall Street "stocks".   


The U.S. is just about the only place in the world that pays any interest on their government securities.

 

As MORE money is invested in our treasuries - by whomever - the yield drops.

If short term is a better deal than long term or if the investors - whomever - feels that short term is better for them than long term - that is their choice.

 

Sure it could be an indicator of a recession peril - growth has long slowed in other parts of the world - that is why the money is coming here.  Yes, growth is slowing here too but that also keeps inflation down - a too heated economy gives rise to inflation.  Employment here still seems fine now - our stock market reacts to lots of things, not just economical stuff.

 

The turbulance in Hong Kong is also adding to the roller coaster as well as economic conditions in Germany, Japan and CHINA, among other places like the UK and their Brexit.

 

I try not to panic - I might rebalance some but mostly I ride out the roller coaster because I am confident in my investment, as much as I can be, in the stock market and in the country as a whole (FDIC or NCUA).

* * * * It's Always Something . . . Roseanne Roseannadanna
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Valued Social Butterfly
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Re: Odds of a recession are now (9 Aug 2019) 1 in 2 per Bank of America

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Message 12 of 15

   If they listen to Fox 'news" propaganda about the economy and tariffs, they will continue in their disbelief because they keep saying that China is paying FED via tariffs, so the nearly $1T debt that is on the horizon ( the debt for this year has surpassed the entire debt of 2018) is apparently an illusion.

    WAPO walked readers through the nonsense here:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/08/13/congratulations-fox-friends-airing-one-worst-defe...

 

     Today, the Return rate on a 10 year T bill  is now lower than the return rate on a 2year T bill.    So the amount of long term investment just dropped, along with the only metric the RW quotes:  Wall Street "stocks".   

PRO-LIFE is Affordable Healthcare for ALL .
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Re: Odds of a recession are now (9 Aug 2019) 1 in 2 per Bank of America

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Message 13 of 15

Another Republican Recession after Tax Cuts for the Wealthy - HMMM !!

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Valued Social Butterfly
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Re: Odds of a recession are now (9 Aug 2019) 1 in 2 per Bank of America

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: Odds of a recession are now (9 Aug 2019) 1 in 2 per Bank of America

 

Changing landscape is going to make it hard to cope. Online retail is killing brick and mortar retail.

Women who make up second family incomes fill most of those brick and mortar jobs. Those jobs have flexible hours and are close to home. This coming recession is going to leave a mark.

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Odds of a recession are now (9 Aug 2019) 1 in 2 per Bank of America

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Message 15 of 15

Bonespurso WUSSolini's spew of racial hatred and the mass murders he caused are just one aspect of his drive to destroy America - his infantile Trade Wars now have Wall Street's attention and they've already devalued everything in preparation for the imminent Republican Recession.

 

Thing is, 30 years of income and wealth redistribution has left the Middle Class so berift of hope for the future, most of donny's lofo base will not even notice as the bottom drops out again - they already being about as beat down as you can get.

 

ToadPOTUS knows this - the KGB and Emerdata (nee' Cambridge Analytica, same CEO and Steve Bannon still Vice Prez) have kept him well informed on how to drive his worshipers into a frenzy of racial hatred, so that's what he's doing - it worked for him in 2016, but this time, he has to really lather on the hate as he's not going to get any freebies from the Democratic Hillary Haters in 2020.

 

Expect a move toward War with Iran in the next 30 days, now that his friend Epstein will not be testifying against him, he's free to beat the War Drum like the other gutless draftdodging preppytwit GOPers slithered into the White House.

 

Only the Koolade-addicted far right have failed to notice Republicans are still blocking anything that might save Social Security and Medicare, still plotting to repeal Obamacare, and still using the tax code to redistribute TRILLIONS in income and wealth from the middle to the very top while destroying our infrastructure and shredding the Social Contract that once really did make America great.

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